Election Forecasting and Black America
Jaedyn Carr Election Forecasting undoubtedly plays an integral role in trying to determine the outcome of future political elections based upon current knowledge of our political atmosphere/trends. That being said, very few people were able to accurately predict the anomaly of outcome that was our 2016 presidential election. The drastic and staunch mobilization of the white-working class in support of Donald Trump was crucial in the defeat of Hillary Clinton and yet, this cruciality was overlooked by the majority of political election forecasters. Additionally the plummet of Democratic loyalty in support of Clinton, as a whole, was especially difficult to predict for many political scientists. Yet what I looked to examine more specifically was the sharp decline in African-American voter turnout within this past presidential election and if this trend is likely to continue or alter in regards to future political elections. We know that the mobilization of a po...